2019 NFL Season Preview

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When Week 1 of each NFL season rolls around, the 32 teams in the league will have slightly different goals, expectations, and aspirations. 

The top-flight contenders won’t be satisfied unless they are lifting the Lombardi Trophy at season’s end as Super Bowl champions. The middle of the pack will be aiming to make the 12-team playoffs and perhaps even win a game. Meanwhile, the bottom tier will just be hoping to play meaningful games in December as the 16-game regular season draws to a close. 

The latest Super Bowl 54 futures odds at MyTopSportsbooks.com, which roughly set out each team’s chances of actually winning the Super Bowl come February, help to stratify the league into the aforementioned tiers.

For NFL neophytes, one thing will become blatantly apparent at a quick glance at the odds: the NFL is a lot more balanced that the Premier League. 

While Man City and Liverpool are about 8/11 and 3/1, respectively, to win the next 2020 EPL title, no team in the NFL is shorter than 6/1. That’s partly because there are more teams in the NFL, but it’s also because the NFL has a hard salary cap, an entry draft, and a multitude of rules that aim to create parity and preclude one team (or even six teams) from dominating. 

The rules have worked, to an extent. Since 1995, only five different Premier League teams have won the title: Arsenal (3), Chelsea (5), Leicester (1), Man City (4), and Man United (11).

Juxtapose that with the NFL, where 14 teams have won the Super Bowl in that same time span: 

  • Baltimore (2)
  • Dallas (1)
  • Denver (3)
  • Green Bay (2)
  • Indianapolis (1)
  • New England (6)
  • New Orleans (1) 
  • New York Giants (2)
  • Philadelphia (1)
  • Pittsburgh (2)
  • San Francisco (1)
  • Seattle (1)
  • St Louis (now LA Rams, 1)
  • Tampa Bay (1)

That said, there are certainly still tiers in any given NFL season, and here’s how they roughly set up for 2019.

Side note: as hard as the league has tried to create parity and discourage dynasties, the New England Patriots have overcome the odds by winning six Super Bowls since 2003, reaching the “Big Game” twice more, and making the playoffs in 14 of the last 15 years. No surprises, they are at the top of Tier 1 this year.

The Top Tier 

1.New England Patriots

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 6/1

Division: AFC East

2018 Record: 11-5

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Beat LA Chargers (41-28) in Divisional Round
  • Beat Kansas City (37-31) in AFC Championship Game
  • Beat LA Rams (13-3) in Super Bowl 53

2. Kansas City Chiefs

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 8/1

Division: AFC West

2018 Record: 12-4

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Beat Indianapolis Colts (31-13) in Divisional Round
  • Lost to New England Patriots (37-31) in AFC Championship Game

3. New Orleans Saints  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 10/1

Division: NFC South

2018 Record: 13-3

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Beat Philadelphia Eagles (20-14) in Divisional Round
  • Lost to LA Rams (26-23 OT) in NFC Championship Game

4. Los Angeles Rams 

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 10/1

Division: NFC West

2018 Record: 13-3

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Beat Dallas Cowboys (30-22) in Divisional Round
  • Beat New Orleans Saints (26-23 OT) in NFC Championship Game
  • Lost to New England Patriots (13-3) in Super Bowl 53

5. Chicago Bears  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 14/1

Division: NFC North

2018 Record: 12-4

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Lost to Philadelphia Eagles (16-15) in Wild Card Round

6. Cleveland Browns  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 14/1

Division: AFC North 

2018 Record: 7-8-1

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

7. Indianapolis Colts  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 14/1

Division: AFC South

2018 Record: 10-6

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Beat Houston Texans (21-7) in Wild Card Round
  • Lost to Kansas City Chiefs (31-13) in Divisional Round

8. Green Bay Packers  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 16/1

Division: NFC North

2018 Record: 6-9-1

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

9. Los Angeles Chargers  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 16/1

Division: AFC West

2018 Record: 12-4

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Beat Baltimore Ravens (23-17) in Wild Card Round
  • Lost to New England Patriots (41-28) in Divisional Round

10. Philadelphia Eagles  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 16/1

Division: NFC East

2018 Record: 9-7

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Beat Chicago Bears (16-15) in Wild Card Round
  • Lost to New Orleans Saints (20-14) in Divisional Round

Two of the top-tier teams will play in London this year as part of the NFL’s ongoing International Series. Chicago will face Oakland at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on October 6th, while the LA Rams will play Cincinnati at Wembley on October 27th

The Middle Tier

1.Atlanta Falcons  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 25/1

Division: NFC South

2018 Record: 7-9

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

2. Dallas Cowboys  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 25/1

Division: NFC East

2018 Record: 10-6

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Beat Seattle Seahawks (24-22) in Wild Card Round
  • Lost to LA Rams (30-22) in Divisional Round

3. Houston Texans  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 25/1

Division: AFC South

2018 Record: 11-5

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Lost to Indianapolis Colts (21-7) in Wild Card Round

4. Minnesota Vikings  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 25/1

Division: NFC North

2018 Record: 8-7-1

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

5. Pittsburgh Steelers  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 25/1

Division: AFC North

2018 Record: 9-6

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

6. San Francisco 49ers  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 25/1

Division: NFC West  

2018 Record: 4-12

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

7. Baltimore Ravens  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 33/1

Division: AFC North

2018 Record: 10-6

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Lost to LA Chargers (23-17) in Wild Card Round

8. Jacksonville Jaguars  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 33/1

Division: AFC South 

2018 Record: 5-11

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

9. Seattle Seahawks  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 33/1

Division: NFC West

2018 Record: 10-6

2018 Playoff Performance

  • Lost to Dallas Cowboys (24-22) in Wild Card Round

The Bottom Tier

1.Oakland Raiders  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 40/1

Division: AFC West 

2018 Record: 4-12

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

2. Carolina Panthers  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 50/1

Division: NFC South

2018 Record: 7-9

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

3. Denver Broncos  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 50/1

Division: AFC West

2018 Record: 6-10

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

4. New York Giants  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 50/1

Division: NFC East

2018 Record: 5-11

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

5. New York Jets  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 50/1

Division: AFC East

2018 Record: 4-12

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

6. Tennessee Titans  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 50/1

Division: AFC South

2018 Record: 9-7

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

7. Buffalo Bills 

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 66/1

Division: AFC East

2018 Record: 6-10

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

8. Detroit Lions  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 66/1

Division: NFC North

2018 Record: 6-10

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 66/1

Division: NFC South

2018 Record: 5-11

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

10. Arizona Cardinals  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 80/1

Division: NFC West

2018 Record: 3-13

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

11. Cincinnati Bengals  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 100/1

Division: AFC North

2018 Record: 6-10

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

12. Washington Redskins  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 100/1

Division: NFC East

2018 Record: 7-9

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify

13. Miami Dolphins  

Super Bowl 54 Odds: 125/1

Division: AFC East

2018 Record: 7-9

2018 Playoff Performance: Did not qualify